The text provides an analysis of the 2024 Indian elections, focusing on the BJP’s performance and Modi’s third term. It suggests that while the BJP secured a victory, it faced setbacks due to factors like diminished appeal of religious polarization after the construction of the Ram Temple and a united opposition. The analysis highlights losses in Uttar Pradesh and other states, attributing them to social issues taking precedence over religious tensions. It also considers the impact of slogans and propaganda from both BJP and the opposition, as well as the influence of regional parties. The author implies that Modi’s third term will require navigating coalition politics and addressing concerns raised by various groups. Finally, the text emphasizes the need for Modi to return to the ideals of “Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas” and avoid arrogance.

Indian Elections 2024: A Study Guide

Quiz

Answer the following questions in 2-3 sentences each.

1. What is the significance of Uttar Pradesh (UP) in Indian politics, according to the text?
2. What setback did the BJP experience in the 2024 elections in Uttar Pradesh, and what are the potential reasons mentioned in the text?
3. How did the Ram Mandir issue influence the 2024 elections, and what does the author suggest about its future impact?
4. What are some of the states or regions where the BJP experienced losses or mixed results in the 2024 elections?
5. According to the text, what mistakes did the BJP make in its campaign strategy?
6. How many seats are needed to form a government in the Lok Sabha assembly, and how many seats did the BJP and the Congress win individually in the 2024 elections?
7. What was the significance of the slogan “crossing 400” used by the BJP, and how did the opposition parties counter it?
8. According to the text, what did the BJP fail to do with their slogan ‘Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas?’
9. What is the author’s perspective on Narendra Modi’s public persona and his connection to the ideals of Indian society?
10. How might coalition partners in Maharashtra, Bihar, and Andhra Pradesh potentially affect the Modi government?

Quiz Answer Key

1. Uttar Pradesh is a crucial cultural center, considered a “mini Hindustan.” It holds the highest number of Lok Sabha seats (80), making it a key state for political dominance.
2. The BJP experienced a significant setback in UP, with their seat count dropping from 62 in 2019 to 36 in 2024. This decline is attributed to the diminishing appeal of the Ram Mandir issue and the unity of the India Alliance, which focused on social issues.
3. The construction of the Ram Mandir initially benefited the BJP by addressing a long-standing religious issue. However, the author suggests its political impact has waned, as voters prioritized social concerns in the 2024 elections.
4. The BJP experienced losses or mixed results in states such as Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Punjab, among others.
5. The BJP is seen as having grown arrogant with their success, neglecting alliances with parties like Akali Dal in Punjab. Additionally, the “crossing 400” slogan was seen as exaggerated and led to voter complacency.
6. 272 seats are needed to form a government in the Lok Sabha assembly. In the 2024 elections, the BJP secured 240 seats, while the Congress party won 99.
7. The “crossing 400” slogan was meant to convey the BJP’s confidence in securing a landslide victory. However, the opposition used it to spread fear that the BJP would change the Constitution, undermining protections for minorities and weaker sections.
8. The author states that Modi will have to showcase the political strength and greatness of Atal Bihari Vajpayee, giving more importance to their slogan ‘Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas’ but it has failed.
9. The author critiques Modi’s public persona as a “fakir,” noting that his lifestyle often contradicts this image. He also questions whether Modi’s actions always align with the respect and dignity expected of a representative of 1.4 billion people.
10. Coalition partners like Shiv Sena in Maharashtra, Janata Dal in Bihar, and Talaq Deshmukh in Andhra Pradesh may present challenges for the Modi government due to differing political agendas, demands for cabinet positions, and power dynamics within their respective states.

Essay Questions

1. Analyze the factors that contributed to the BJP’s performance in the 2024 Indian elections. What strategies worked, and what missteps were made?
2. Discuss the role of religious issues, particularly the Ram Mandir, in the 2024 Indian elections. How did they influence voters’ decisions, and what is their long-term impact on Indian politics?
3. Evaluate the effectiveness of the opposition alliance in challenging the BJP’s dominance in the 2024 elections. What were their strengths and weaknesses, and how did they shape the election outcome?
4. Assess the significance of coalition politics in the formation of the government after the 2024 Indian elections. How will the dynamics between the BJP and its allies impact policy decisions and governance?
5. Explore the author’s critique of Narendra Modi’s leadership style and public persona. How does this critique relate to broader debates about secularism, Hindu nationalism, and the future of Indian democracy?

Glossary of Key Terms

• BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party): A major political party in India, often associated with Hindu nationalism.
• Congress Party: One of the oldest and largest political parties in India, historically associated with secularism and social democracy.
• India Alliance: A coalition of opposition parties formed to challenge the BJP in the 2024 elections.
• Lok Sabha: The lower house of the Indian Parliament.
• Ram Mandir: A Hindu temple constructed in Ayodhya, India, on a site historically disputed between Hindus and Muslims.
• Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas: A slogan meaning “Together with all, development for all,” popularized by Narendra Modi and the BJP, emphasizing inclusive growth.
• Uttar Pradesh (UP): A state in northern India with significant political influence due to its large population and number of parliamentary seats.
• Hindutva: An ideology seeking to define Indian culture in terms of Hindu values.
• Dalits: Members of the lowest caste in India, formerly known as “untouchables.”
• Secularism: The principle of separation of religion from state affairs.

Okay, here’s a briefing document summarizing the key themes and ideas from the provided text regarding the 2024 Indian Elections.

Briefing Document: Indian Elections 2024 Analysis

Subject: Analysis of the 2024 Indian Elections and Modi’s Third Term

Source: Excerpts from “Indian Elections 2024: Modi’s Third Term and Political Analysis”

Executive Summary:

The source analyzes the 2024 Indian elections, focusing on the BJP’s reduced majority and the factors contributing to it. It highlights the surprising performance of the opposition alliance, the waning influence of the Ram Mandir issue, the impact of social and economic concerns, and the perception of BJP’s overconfidence. The document also touches on the role of negative propaganda and the challenges Modi will face in his third term due to reliance on coalition partners.

Key Themes and Ideas:

1. Diminished Mandate for BJP:

• The BJP, while still the largest single party, experienced a significant setback in the 2024 elections compared to 2014 and 2019. Their seats in Uttar Pradesh (UP), a crucial state, dropped considerably.
• “BJP had won 7171 seats from here in the 2014 elections and in the 2019 elections as before, this number was 62 under the leadership of Yogi Adityanath, while this time in the 2024 elections, despite all the services and efforts, BJP has suffered a big setback. Its seats have come down to just 36…”
• This indicates a shift in voter sentiment and a rejection of the BJP’s perceived overreach.

1. Waning Influence of the Ram Mandir Issue:

• The construction of the Ram Mandir, a long-standing issue for the BJP, seemingly lost its electoral charm.
• “…the Ram temple, which raised the radical Hindu mindset, has lost its charm with the construction of the temple…”
• The focus shifted from religious issues to social and economic concerns. The alliance between Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress successfully highlighted social issues over religious tensions.

1. Impact of Social and Economic Issues:

• The opposition alliance, particularly in UP, successfully redirected the focus to pressing social and economic issues.
• “…the unity of India Alliance, Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul’s Congress Party has given the people of UP the verdict that our real issue is the social issues and not the religious tension.”
• This suggests that voters were more concerned with tangible improvements in their lives than with religious symbolism.

1. BJP’s Perceived Overconfidence and Missteps:

• The BJP’s slogan of “crossing 400” may have backfired, leading to complacency among its supporters and galvanizing the opposition.
• “This time the slogan of crossing 400 was also an exaggerated slogan of its own…when the echo of 400 crossed was in the mind, many of our people understood that our victory is so sure that even if we do not go to vote in such intense heat, it does not matter, Modi has to win…”
• The article argues that the BJP’s growth reached a point of “arrogance,” leading to missed opportunities in forming alliances.

1. Negative Propaganda and Polarization:

• The opposition successfully used “negative propaganda,” claiming that the BJP intended to change the constitution and undermine the rights of minorities and weaker sections.
• “…Rahul Gandhi and the opposition leadership were found giving this statement in every speech that 400 crossed means that BJP will change the Constitution i.e. Indian law given by our elders or founding fathers, in which there is no provision for intellectuals and weaker sections.”
• While Modi attempted to counter this narrative, the propaganda had a significant impact on voter behavior.

1. Challenges for Modi’s Third Term:

• Modi will have to rely on coalition partners, such as Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu, to maintain his government. This will require him to address their concerns and demands.
• “From division of offices in the cabinet to their power in the states, they will have to take care of it.”
• He will also need to adopt a more inclusive approach and refrain from “blatant claims.”
• “More than the need for Prime Minister Modi, Modi himself will have to be brought into the limelight and will have to refrain from making blatant claims.”

1. The Nehru-Gandhi Family’s Enduring Influence:

• The article notes the historical significance of the Nehru-Gandhi family in Indian politics, particularly in constituencies like Rae Bareli and Amethi. Despite Smriti Irani’s previous win in Amethi, the seat returned to the Congress party.

Key Quotes:

• “If we take a look at this scenario, then the political awareness of the Indian people has proved to be better than ours.” (Implying that Indian voters were wiser than voters in the author’s country, presumably Pakistan.)
• “Your slogan of crossing 400 times also had some humanitarian or moral value in it, which would remind of his great deeds.” (This suggests the author believes that the 400+ slogan should have been tied to a vision of national greatness rather than simply a number.)
• “Narendra Modi also presents himself as a fakir in the market, but his living style often does not match his claim.” (The author is criticizing Modi’s perceived disconnect between his simple image and his actual lifestyle.)

Conclusion:

The 2024 Indian elections reflect a complex interplay of factors, including religious identity, socio-economic concerns, political strategy, and public perception. While the BJP secured a third term for Modi, its diminished mandate highlights the need for a more nuanced and inclusive approach to governance. The rise of the opposition alliance indicates a renewed focus on social and economic issues, and Modi will face challenges in navigating the demands of his coalition partners.

Frequently Asked Questions: Indian Elections 2024

• What were the key factors that led to the BJP’s reduced seat count in the 2024 elections compared to 2014 and 2019?
• Several factors contributed to the BJP’s setback. While the Ram Mandir issue had initially boosted support, its impact waned after construction. The unity of the India Alliance, particularly the Samajwadi Party and Congress Party in Uttar Pradesh, refocused the electorate on social issues rather than religious tensions. Additionally, the BJP’s perceived arrogance and failure to effectively engage with allies like the Akali Dal in Punjab hurt their overall performance. Concerns about potential constitutional changes fueled by exaggerated slogans like “crossing 400” also mobilized opposition voters, especially among farmers, Jats, Dalits, and Muslims. The low voter turnout amongst BJP voters due to the assumption of easy victory also played a role.
• How did the Ram Mandir issue influence the 2024 elections?
• The construction of the Ram Mandir initially provided a significant boost to the BJP, seemingly resolving a long-standing religious issue. However, the article suggests that its appeal diminished over time. The opposition successfully shifted the focus back to social and economic issues, arguing that these were more pressing concerns for the electorate. The BJP’s reliance on this issue also appears to have alienated some voters who prioritized other factors.
• What role did alliances play in the outcome of the 2024 elections?
• Alliances were crucial. The India Alliance, particularly the collaboration between the Samajwadi Party and Congress in Uttar Pradesh, proved effective in challenging the BJP’s dominance. Conversely, the BJP’s failure to maintain strong alliances, such as with the Akali Dal in Punjab, weakened their position in certain regions. The BJP will now rely on the support of coalition partners like Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal in Bihar and Chandra Babu Naido’s Talaq Deshmukh’s party in Andhra Pradesh, which could present challenges in terms of policy and power-sharing.
• What impact did the BJP’s slogan of “crossing 400” have on the elections?
• The “crossing 400” slogan appears to have backfired in several ways. It contributed to complacency among some BJP supporters, leading to lower voter turnout. More significantly, it fueled opposition narratives that the BJP intended to alter the constitution to the detriment of weaker sections of society. This fear-mongering campaign effectively mobilized opposition voters and damaged the BJP’s credibility.
• How significant is Uttar Pradesh (UP) in Indian politics, and what were the key takeaways from the election results in this state?
• Uttar Pradesh is a culturally significant region often described as a “mini Hindustan” due to its large population and influence on national politics. It holds the highest number of Lok Sabha seats (80), making it crucial for any party aiming to form a government in Delhi. The BJP’s significant seat reduction in UP, despite its previous dominance, highlights the shift in voter priorities towards social issues and the success of opposition alliances in the state. The loss of key seats like Faizabad (Ayodhya) and Amethi signals a waning of the BJP’s influence in its traditional strongholds.
• What is the significance of the Congress party’s performance in the 2024 elections?
• While the Congress party did not achieve a resounding victory, their increase in seats and the success of the India Alliance demonstrate a resurgence of the opposition. Rahul Gandhi’s leadership and the alliance’s focus on social justice issues resonated with voters, particularly in states like Uttar Pradesh. However, the article suggests that the Congress still lacks a clear and unified leadership, and their campaign promises were sometimes perceived as unrealistic.
• How does the author perceive Narendra Modi’s leadership style and its impact on the BJP’s performance?
• The author expresses a somewhat critical view of Narendra Modi’s leadership. While acknowledging his ability to connect with the masses, the author suggests that Modi’s actions and persona sometimes contradict his claims of simplicity and devotion. The author also implies that the BJP’s perceived arrogance and Modi’s overconfidence contributed to their setback in the 2024 elections. The author believes that Modi needs to showcase the political strength and greatness of Atal Bihari Vajpayee, giving more importance to their slogan ‘ Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas’.
• What challenges and opportunities does the Modi government face in its third term?
• In its third term, the Modi government faces the challenge of governing with a reduced majority and relying on coalition partners. This will require greater negotiation and compromise on policy decisions. They must address the concerns raised by the opposition regarding social justice, economic inequality, and potential constitutional changes. However, the Modi government also has the opportunity to prioritize inclusive growth, strengthen alliances, and regain the trust of voters who may have felt alienated during the previous term. They have to fulfill the slogan of ‘Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas’

Indian Elections Modi Government for the Third Time Darvesh had written while answering a question in the last installment that if he gets a chance to meet the BJP leadership, he will definitely tell them that see the way we have ruined our country and society by using religion for political purposes, you people should learn a lesson from us or else you people will also be affected the same way. If we take a look at this scenario, then the political awareness of the Indian people has proved to be better than ours. They have definitely given BJP a chance to solve the religious castes that are pitted against Hindus to a certain extent, due to which it succeeded in solving the 500-year-old issue of Ram Mandir. Thus, with the construction of Ram Mandir or Temple, the old card of the oppressed class expired. In this way, BJP was badly beaten not only by the whole of UP but also by Ram Ji Kalka of Faizabad, the pure Ayodhya Ram Mandir, by the Dalit representative of Akhilesh Singh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party. Its rival is the people of Rae Bareli, whom Mrs. Sonia Gandhi had told that Rahul Gandhi is now your son, and she has made him win with a huge mandate. Similarly, the Amethi seat in UP was traditionally with the Nehru-Gandhi family. Mrs. Indira Gandhi also used to win from here. Rajiv Gandhi also used to contest from here, but in the last two elections, BJP has snatched this seat from Congress. Former actress Smriti Irani, who is made the face of BJP, had also visited Medina some time ago and this seat was with her since the last election, but in the current 2024 election, she has lost with a big margin to Sonia Gandhi’s manager or steno Kishori Lal Sharma. Uttar Pradesh is such a cultural center of the whole of India that we can also call it a mini Hindustan. Just as in Pakistan it is said about Punjab that it is necessary to establish a foothold in Punjab for the rule of Islamabad, similarly in India it is generally said that Delhi has been the throne or the 100th seat or the vicinity and the Indian Lok Sabha The maximum number of 80 seats are here. BJP had won 7171 seats from here in the 2014 elections and in the 2019 elections as before, this number was 62 under the leadership of Yogi Adityanath, while this time in the 2024 elections, despite all the services and efforts, BJP has suffered a big setback. Its seats have come down to just 36 and the main reason for this is that the Ram temple, which raised the radical Hindu mindset, has lost its charm with the construction of the temple, while the unity of India Alliance, Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul’s Congress Party has given the people of UP the verdict that our real issue is the social issues and not the religious tension. A similar mixed situation is the situation in other states, provinces or princely states, Punjab, Haryana, Kashmir, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Jharkhand. BJP has its political status in Punjab, Haryana, Kashmir, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Jharkhand. In some places, it has lost more and more. In Tamil Nadu and Punjab, BJP or the ruling alliance could not win even a single seat. In Rajasthan and Haryana, where BJP had a clean sweep, it has lost 9 seats. In Maharashtra, 30 seats have been won by the opposition alliance. However, in Bihar, the ruling alliance has won 30 seats and the opposition has won 9 seats. In Gujarat, Orissa and Madhya Pradesh, BJP has emerged as a strong force. In Andhra Pradesh, the ball is in the hands of Chandra Babu Nado, who is known to be Modi’s strong alliance partner. In this way, the Modi government will benefit from Nitish Kumar’s strong position in Bihar and Sharad Pawar’s success will also go to Modi’s account. Here it may also be relevant to express this opinion that the BJP’s excessive growth had reached a kind of arrogance, so it did not show any enthusiasm in bringing its own allies or many other influential parties together, an example of which is the Akali Dal in Punjab, while Rahul’s party in India has won only 10 seats. The alliance grew from 26 to 37 and then the election promises they made were as if a person was not sure of his victory and he kept on exaggerating every thing, for example, sending Rs. lakh to every poor woman’s account or immediately eradicating poverty from the country and then their all this is a mere gimmick which itself has no specific agenda of envy or jealousy towards the BJP. They do not even agree on leadership till now, to the extent that there have been talks of distributing ministries every year. Hollow promises, false hopes cannot create and bring a strong leadership. In comparison to 2014 and 2019, without any good luck, BJP has got a set back in the 2024 election. This time the slogan of crossing 400 was also an exaggerated slogan of its own, but in our media, there is only a slogan of BJP and Modi. The way negative propaganda is being done to celebrate the victory, this approach also does not come under the purview of the democratic process. In the Lok Sabha assembly of 543, 272 seats are required to form the government and BJP has emerged as the single largest party by securing 240 seats alone against the 37-member alliance, while Rahul Gandhi’s Congress party could not go beyond 999. With reference to the alliance also, while the ruling alliance has won 294 seats, the total seats of the opposition alliance are 232. In such a situation, the talk of the opposition leaders or Modi’s defeat is meaningless, who will now have to showcase the political strength and greatness of Atal Bihari Vajpayee, giving more importance to their slogan ‘ Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas’ but it has failed. More than the need for Prime Minister Modi, Modi himself will have to be brought into the limelight and will have to refrain from making blatant claims. In today’s India, Mahatma You can rid yourself of Gandhi’s ideas as much as you want, but many of the ideals of this saint have originated from the ancient Hindu society and culture, in which the simplicity of Hindu religion, the intellectualism and greatness are displayed. Narendra Modi also presents himself as a fakir in the market, but his living style often does not match his claim. He says that when I meet outsiders in the capacity of PM, then I am not Modi at that time, but I show respect and dignity as a representative of 1.4 billion people, which in our eyes has reached a little beyond his status. And then he changes jackets of different colors and remains a fakir for good clothes. This approach is against the service and devotional ideals of Indian society. Your slogan of crossing 400 times also had some humanitarian or moral value in it, which would remind of his great deeds. In the history of Indian elections, crossing 400 has happened only once, when Mrs. Indira Gandhi sacrificed herself for the unity and rickshaw of her country, so in return Rajiv Gandhi got 404 or 400 crossed. BJP could have also kept the slogan that Modi government for the third time. Anyway, when the echo of 400 crossed was in the mind, many of our people understood that our victory is so sure that even if we do not go to vote in such intense heat, it does not matter, Modi has to win, if 400 is not crossed, then 350 will be crossed. This is the reason why the voting ratio remained very low in the 2024 election, perhaps it could not go above 60. BJP’s voter did not come out of the previous mark. On the other hand, the opposite effect of this slogan was that Rahul Gandhi and the opposition leadership were found giving this statement in every speech that 400 crossed means that BJP will change the Constitution i.e. Indian law given by our elders or founding fathers, in which there is no provision for intellectuals and weaker sections. The past will be over. To avoid Ram Rajya or Hindu Rashtra, all the weaker sections should stand up, otherwise the rule of BJP and Narendra Modi is going to be established. If we look at it from the point of view of reality, the groups of farmers, Jats, Dalits and Muslims gathered together for protection and regional parties also showed their influence. Prime Minister Narendra Modi had realized the threat spread in this regard and he explained it in detail in the last part of his election campaign. He said everywhere that we do not intend to change the constitution or the law and also that we give great importance to secular values. Modi Ji insisted that this is done by the Congress which shows the identity or division of sects in the name of religion. We talk of national unity by bringing everyone together. In this context, he repeatedly referred to Baba Saheb Ambedkar, but he could not stop the propaganda spread against him by Rahul and Indi Alliance. This negative propaganda, which had some or the other false truth, was being spread by the opposition. Due to these somehow or the other, the Indian people have sent their popular Prime Minister to the Delhi assembly for the third time. They will have to take along Bel Fail sahab. They will also have to bear the tantrums of their own people. From division of offices in the cabinet to their power in the states, they will have to take care of it. In Maharashtra, the Hindutva agenda of Shiv Sena matches with that of BJP, but its Hindutva is more than that of BJP. Who is not aware of the thoughts of Bal Thackeray ji? Now his children will move ahead with the same passion. Anyway, their nine seats will be like ‘Ham ki khayal’ for the BJP government. In Bihar, Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal has 12 seats, while in Andhra Pradesh, Chandrababu Naidu’s Talaq Deshmukh’s 16 seats will be a problem for the Modi government.

इंडियन इंतखाब मोदी सरकार तीसरी बार दरवेश ने पिछली किस्त में एक सवाल का जवाब देते हुए यह तहरीर किया था कि अगर उसे बीजेपी कयादत से मिलने का इफाक हुआ तो व इनसे यह जरूर कहेगा कि देखो जिस तरह हम लोगों ने अपने खिता में मजहब का सियासी इस्तेमाल करते हुए अपने मुल्क और समाज को बर्बाद कर लिया है आप लोग हमसे इबरत हासिल करो वरना आप लोगों का भी वही असर होगा इस पस मंजर में जायजा लिया जाए तो भारतीय जनता का सियासी शऊर हम लोगों से ज्यादा मोर साबित हुआ है उन्होंने हिंदुओं के खिलाफ रवा रखी जाने वाली मजहबी जातियों पर एक हद तक जरूर बीजेपी को पजरा बख्शी है जिसके कारण वह राम मंदिर का 500 साला पुराना इशू हल करने या कराने में कामयाब हो गई यूं राम मंदिर या टेंपल की तामीर के साथ ही मजलूम अत का कदीमी कार्ड एक्सपायर हो गया इस तरह बीजेपी ना सिर्फ यह कि पूरे यूपी से बल्कि फैजाबाद के खालिस अयोध्या राम मंदिर वाले राम जीी कलके से भी अखिलेश सिंह यादव की समाजवादी पार्टी के दलित नुमाइंदे से बुरी तरह पिट गई है इसके बिल मुकाबल राय बरेली के ब यों ने जिन्हें श्रीमती सोनिया गांधी ने यह कहा था कि राहुल गांधी अब तुम्हारा बेटा है भारी मैंडेट के साथ जितवा दिया है इसी तरह यूपी के अमेठी वाली सीट रवायत तौर पर नेहरू गांधी परिवार के पास चली आ रही थी श्रीमती इंदिरा गांधी भी यहीं से जीता करती थी राजीव गांधी भी यहां से लड़ते रहे लेकिन पिछले दोनों इंतखाब में बीजेपी ने कांग्रेस से यह सीट भी छीन ली है साबका अदाकारा स्मृति ईरानी जिन्हें बीजेपी का चेहरा कर दिया जाता है जिन्होंने कुछ अरसा कबल मदीना यात्रा भी की थी और पिछले इंतखाब से ये सीट इन्हीं के पास थी मगर मौजूदा 2024 के इलेक्शन में वो सोनिया गांधी के मैनेजर या स्टेनो किशोरी लाल शर्मा से बड़े मार्जन के साथ हार गई है उत्तर प्रदेश खिता हिंद का ऐसा तहजीब गहवारा है जिसे हम मिनी हिंदुस्तान भी कह सकते हैं पाकिस्तान में जिस तरह पंजाब के मुतालिक कहा जाता है कि इस्लामाबाद की हुकूमत के लिए पंजाब में कदम जमाना जरूरी है इसी तरह भारत में बिल अमोम यह कहा जाता है कि दिल्ली सिंघासन या इक्दर्म या आसपास रही है और भारतीय लोकसभा की सबसे ज्यादा 80 सीटें यहां हैं बीजेपी को 2014 के चुनाव में यहां से 7171 सीटों पर कामयाबी मिली थी और 2019 के इंतखाब में भी हसबे साबिक यह तादाद योगी आदित्यनाथ की कयादत में 62 थी जबकि इस मर्तबा 2024 के चुनाव में बीजेपी को तमाम तर खिदमा और दामों के बावजूद बड़ा सेटबैक पहुंचा है इसकी सीटें घटकर महत 36 रह गई हैं और इसकी बड़ी वजह जहां यह है कि र वायती हिंदू माइंडसेट को उभारने वाला राम मंदिर कार टेंपल की तामीर के साथ ही अपनी कशिश खो बैठा है वहीं इंडिया अलायंस बिलख सूस अखली देश सिंह यादू की समाजवादी पार्टी और राहुल की कांग्रेस पार्टी की एकता से यूपी की जनता ने यह फैसला सुना दिया है कि हमारा असल इशू माशी मसाइल है ना के मजहबी तंग नाए कुछ इसी तरह की मिलीजुली सूरत हाल दीगर राज्यों सूबों या रियासतों की है पंजाब हरियाणा कश्मीर राजस्थान महाराष्ट्र वेस्ट बंगाल केराला तमिलनाडु कर्नाटका झारखंड में बीजेपी अपनी सियासी हैसियत कहीं कम कहीं ज्यादा खो बैठी है बिलख सूस तमिलनाडु और मशर की पंजाब से तो बीजेपी या हुक्मरान इतहाद कोई एक सीट भी हासिल नहीं कर सके राजस्थान और हरियाणा जहां बीजेपी ने क्लीन स्वीप किया था वहां भी निस सीटें खो बैठी है महाराष्ट्र की 30 सीटें अपोजिशन अलायंस ने जीत ली हैं अलबत्ता बिहार में हुक्मरान इतहाद ने 30 और अपोजिशन ने नौ सीटें जीती हैं गुजरात उड़ीसा मध्य प्रदेश में अलबत्ता बीजेपी मजबूत हैसियत में उभरी है आंध्र प्रदेश में गेंद चंद्र बाबू नाडो के हाथ में है जो मोदी के मजबूत इतहाद गल दने जाते हैं इस तरह बिहार में नितेश कुमार की मजबूत पोजीशन का फायदा मोदी सरकार को पहुंचेगा और शरद पवार की कामयाबी भी मोदी के खाते में जाएगी यहां इस अमर का इजहार भी शायद मौजू हो कि बीजेपी की जरूरत से ज्यादा बढ़ी हुई खुद इत मादी एक तरह के गुरूर तक पहुंच गई थी इसलिए उन्होंने अपने तहा दियों को भी या कई दीगर असर सूफ वाली पार्टियों को साथ जोड़ने में कोई सरगर्मी ना दिखाई जिसकी एक मिसाल पंजाब में अकाली दल है जबकि इंडिया नामी राहुल का अलायंस 26 जमां से बढ़ते हुए 37 तक चले गया और फिर उन्होंने जो इंतखाब वादे किए वो ऐसे थे कि जैसे एक शख्स को अपनी जीत का यकीन ना हो और वह हर बात को बढ़ा चढ़ाकर बयान करता चला जाए मसलन यह कि हर गरीब खातून को ₹ लाख अकाउंट में भेजने या फौरी तौर पर मुल्क से फटाफट गरीबी खत्म करने के लनात और फिर इनका इतहाद ऐसा चूचू का मुरब्बा है जिसका स्वाय बीजेपी से हसद या जलन के कोई मुस्त एजेंडा नहीं है इनका तो अभी तक कयादत पर भी इत्तफाक नहीं हत्ता कि विजारत उजमा भी एक-एक साल पर बांटने की बातें होती रही हैं खोखले वादे झूठी उम्मीदें पैदार और मजबूत कयादत नहीं ला सकती 2014 और 2019 के बिल मुकाबल बिला शुभ बीजेपी को इलेक्शन 2024 में सेट बैक पहुंचा है अबकी बार 400 पार का नारा भी जरूरत से बढ़ी हुई खुद इत मादी का मजहर था मगर हमारे मीडिया में बिल मूम बीजेपी और मोदी की वाज जीत को जिस तरह मनफी प्रोपेगेंडा जा रहा है यह तर्ज अमल भी सावती दियानत दारी के जिमरे में नहीं आता है 543 के लोकसभा आवान में हुकूमत साजी के लिए 272 सीटें दरकार हैं और की बीजेपी 37 जमाती अलायंस के बिल मुकाबल तन्हा 240 निशि हासिल करते हुए सिंगल लार्जेस्ट पार्टी की हैसियत से उभरी है जबकि इसके सामने राहुल गांधी की कांग्रेस पार्टी 999 से आगे नहीं बढ़ पाई अलायंस के हवाले से भी जहां हुक्मरान इतहाद ने 294 निशि जीती है वहां अपोजिशन इतहाद की कुल सीटें 232 हैं ऐसे में अपोजिशन के हुक्मरान या मोदी के जवाल की बातें बेमानी है जिन्हें अब अपने नारे सबका साथ सबका विकास पर बिल फेल ज्यादा तवज्जो देते हुए अटल बिहारी वाजपेई की सियासी दम और बड़े पन का मुजहरा करना होगा प्राइम मिनिस्टर मोदी की जरूरत से ज्यादा खुद त मादी को हका शनास में लाना होगा ब्लं बांग दावों से परहेज करना होगा आज के भारत में महात्मा गांधी के विचारों से आप जितनी चाहे जान छुड़ा ले लेकिन इस साधु के बहुत से आदर्श कदीमी हिंदू समाज और तहजीब से फूटे हैं जिनमें हिंदू मत की सादगी वस्ते कल्बी वुसी नजरी और बड़ा पन नुमाया तर है नरेंद्र मोदी भी बजार खुद को एक फकीर के रूप में पेश करते हैं मगर इनका लिविंग स्टाइल अक्सर इनके दावे से मेल नहीं खाता वो कहते हैं कि मैं पीएम की की हैसियत से जब गैरों को मिलता हूं तो मैं इस वक्त मोदी नहीं हो 1 अरब 40 करोड़ की जनता का नुमाइंदा बनकर वकार और डिग्निटी दिखाता हूं जो हमारी नजर में बाज औकात कुछ आगे तक पहुंची होती है और फिर वह रंग बंगी जितनी जैकेट्स बदलते और बढ़िया लिबास के लिए मुत फक्कर रहते हैं ये अप्रोच इंडियन समाज की सेवा और भक्ति भरे आदर्शों के खिलाफ हैं आपकी बार 400 पार के नारे ने भी अपना मुसब्बर नाजर में इसकी कोई मानवीय या मक दियत वाजिया होती जो इनके बहुत बड़े कारनामों की याद दिलाता इंडियन इंतखाब तारीख में 400 पार तो महज एक मर्तबा हुआ है जब श्रीमती इंदिरा गांधी अपने देश की एकता और रिक्शा पर कुर्बान हो गई तो बदले में राजीव गांधी को 404 या 400 पार हुए बीजेपी यह नारा भी रख सकती थी कि तीसरी बार मोदी सरकार बहरहाल जब 400 पार की गूंज दिमाग में छाई हुई थी तो बहुत से अपनों ने यह समझा कि हमारी जीत तो इस कदर यकीनी है कि अगर इतनी शदीद गर्मी में हम वोट डालने ना भी गए तो कोई बात नहीं जीत तो मोदी ने ही जाना है 400 पार ना हुए तो 350 पार हो जाएंगे यही वजह है कि 2024 के इलेक्शन में वोटिंग रेशो निसन कदर कम रही शायद 60 पर से ऊपर नहीं जा सकी बीजेपी का वोटर साबका इनमार्क से नहीं निकला दूसरी तरफ इस नारे का मुखालिफ असर यह हुआ कि राहुल गांधी और अपोजिशन कयादत अपनी हर तकरीर में यह तश्वी बयान करते पाए गए कि 400 पार का यह मतलब है कि बीजेपी हमारे बड़ों या फाउंडिंग फादर्स का दिया हुआ अजमु शन संविधान यानी भारतीय आईन बदल डालेगी जिसमें अकली तों और कमजोर तबकात को दिए गए तजत खत्म हो जाएंगे राम राजिया या हिंदू राष्ट्रिय से बचने के लिए तमाम कमजोर तबकात को उठ खड़े होना चाहिए वरना बीजेपी और नरेंद्र मोदी की आमनियन कायम होने जा रही है अगर हकीकत की नजर से देखा जाए तो किसान जाटों दलितों और मुसलमानों के खद शत इस हवाले से तहफ्फुज या बचाओ की खातिर इकट्ठे हो गए और इलाकाई पार्टियों ने भी अपना असर दिखाया प्राइम मिनिस्टर नरेंद्र मोदी को इस हवाले से फैलाए गए खद शत के मुजम का एहसासो द्राक हो चुका था और उन्होंने अपनी इलेक्शन कैंपेन के आखिरी मराल में इस हवाले से खूब वजाहत की हर जगह यह कहा कि हम संविधान या आईन बदलने का कोई इरादा नहीं रखते और यह भी कि हम सेकुलर वैल्यूज को बड़ी अहमियत देते हैं मोदी जी ने इस अमर पर इसरार किया कि यह हरकत तो कांग्रेस करती है जो धर्म के नाम पर फिरको की पहचान या तकसीम को नुमाया करती है हम तो सबको साथ मिलाकर कौमी एकता की बात करते हैं इस सिलसिले में उन्होंने बार-बार बाबा साहब अंबेडकर का रेफरेंस दिया मगर वह अपने खिलाफ फैलाए गए राहुल और इंडी अलायंस के इस मनफी प्रोपेगेंडा जिसकी कुछ ना कुछ झूठी सची बनदे बाल अपोजिशन के पास थी इन जैसे-तैसे खद शत के कारण भारतीय जनता ने अपने पॉपुलर प्रधानमंत्री को तीसरी बार दिल्ली के इक्दर्म बक में बेल फेल साहब को साथ लेकर चलना होगा अपने इतहाद हों के नखरे भी उठाने होंगे काबीना में उदों की तकसीम से लेकर राज्यों में इनकी तजत का बाल ख्याल रखना होगा महाराष्ट्र में शिव सना का हिंदुत्व का एजेंडा अगर च बीजेपी से से मेल खाता है लेकिन इसकी हिद्दी बीजेपी से ज्यादा है बाल ठाकरे जी के विचारों से कौन वाकफ नहीं है अब इनके बच्चे इसी लगन के साथ आगे बढ़ेंगे बहरहाल इनकी नौ सीटें बीजेपी की हुकूमत के लिए एक तरह से हम ख्याल अदि हों जैसी होंगी बिहार में नितेश कुमार की जनता दल के पास 12 सीटें हैं जबकि आंध्र प्रदेश में चंद्रबाबू नायडू के तलग देशम की 16 नशत मोदी सरकार के लिए मामन होंगी

By Amjad Izhar
Contact: amjad.izhar@gmail.com
https://amjadizhar.blog

Affiliate Disclosure: This blog may contain affiliate links, which means I may earn a small commission if you click on the link and make a purchase. This comes at no additional cost to you. I only recommend products or services that I believe will add value to my readers. Your support helps keep this blog running and allows me to continue providing you with quality content. Thank you for your support!