The provided text analyzes India’s 2024 election results, particularly focusing on the performance of the BJP and its leader, Narendra Modi. It examines the BJP’s reduced seat count compared to previous elections and attributes this to factors like the waning influence of the Ram Temple issue and the unification of opposition parties. The article also discusses the impact of campaign slogans and negative propaganda on voter behavior. Furthermore, it assesses the BJP’s performance across various states and the roles of alliance partners in forming the government. The author suggests that the BJP’s perceived arrogance and failure to engage with allies contributed to their setback. Ultimately, the text reflects on the challenges and compromises Modi’s government will face in its third term, with a need to balance its agenda with the demands of coalition partners.

Indian Elections 2024: Analysis and Aftermath

Study Guide

This study guide is designed to help you review and understand the key themes and arguments presented in the provided text excerpts regarding the 2024 Indian elections. It covers major political parties, voting patterns, social issues, and the implications of the election results.

Key Topics

• The BJP and Narendra Modi: Analyze the BJP’s performance, the impact of Narendra Modi’s leadership, and the slogan of “crossing 400.”
• The Opposition Alliance (India Alliance): Examine the role of the India Alliance, particularly the Congress party and Rahul Gandhi, in challenging the BJP.
• Uttar Pradesh (UP): Understand the significance of UP in Indian politics and how the BJP’s performance in UP affected the overall election results.
• Social and Religious Issues: Explore the influence of religious tensions, caste dynamics, and social issues on voter behavior and election outcomes.
• Election Promises and Propaganda: Analyze the promises made by various parties and the impact of negative propaganda during the election campaign.
• Coalition Politics: Understand the importance of coalition partners and their influence on the formation and stability of the government.
• The Role of Key Figures: Reflect on the influence of political figures like Sonia Gandhi, Akhilesh Yadav, and others on the election results.

Quiz

Answer the following questions based on the provided text excerpts in 2-3 sentences each.

1. What was the main reason cited in the text for the BJP’s seat reduction in Uttar Pradesh during the 2024 elections?
2. How did the construction of the Ram Temple affect the BJP’s political strategy, according to the text?
3. Why is Uttar Pradesh considered a “mini Hindustan” in the context of Indian politics?
4. What was the significance of the Amethi seat in Uttar Pradesh, and how has its political representation changed in recent elections?
5. According to the text, what was the adverse effect of BJP’s slogan of crossing 400 in the 2024 elections?
6. How did the opposition parties attempt to use the slogan of “400 crossed” against the BJP during the election campaign?
7. According to the text, in which states BJP could not win even a single seat?
8. Why did Prime Minister Narendra Modi find it necessary to address concerns about changing the constitution during the election campaign?
9. According to the text, what is the importance of coalition partners, like Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu, for the Modi government?
10. How does the author characterize Narendra Modi’s personal image and its contrast with his political actions?

Quiz Answer Key

1. The main reason for the BJP’s seat reduction in UP was the decline in the appeal of the Ram Temple after its construction and the unity of the India Alliance, which emphasized social issues over religious tensions.
2. The construction of the Ram Temple was seen as the expiration of an “old card of the oppressed class,” suggesting that it had diminishing returns in mobilizing voters.
3. Uttar Pradesh is considered a “mini Hindustan” because it is a significant cultural center of India, reflecting the diverse political and social landscape of the entire country.
4. The Amethi seat was traditionally a stronghold of the Nehru-Gandhi family, but the BJP has successfully contested and won this seat in recent elections, marking a shift in political allegiances.
5. The slogan of “crossing 400” led to voter complacency among BJP supporters, as many believed victory was assured regardless of their participation.
6. Opposition parties used the slogan of “400 crossed” to propagate the idea that the BJP would alter the constitution and eliminate protections for minorities and weaker sections.
7. According to the text, the BJP or the ruling alliance could not win even a single seat in Tamil Nadu and Punjab.
8. Prime Minister Modi found it necessary to address concerns about changing the constitution to counter the negative propaganda spread by the opposition, who claimed the BJP would undermine secular values and harm weaker sections.
9. Coalition partners like Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu are important for the Modi government because they provide crucial support in parliament and regional influence, strengthening the ruling alliance’s position.
10. The author characterizes Modi as presenting himself as a “fakir” but notes a contrast between this image and his lifestyle, suggesting that his actions sometimes contradict his claims of simplicity and devotion.

Essay Questions

Consider these essay questions to further develop your understanding of the text.

1. Analyze the factors contributing to the BJP’s performance in the 2024 Indian elections, considering both its successes and setbacks as highlighted in the text.
2. Discuss the role of social and religious issues in shaping the outcome of the 2024 Indian elections, using specific examples from the text to support your claims.
3. Evaluate the strategies employed by the opposition alliance (India Alliance) in challenging the BJP, and assess the effectiveness of these strategies based on the election results.
4. Examine the significance of Uttar Pradesh in Indian politics and analyze how the election results in UP influenced the overall outcome of the 2024 elections.
5. Critically assess the impact of election promises and propaganda on voter behavior during the 2024 Indian elections, providing examples from the text to illustrate your arguments.

Glossary of Key Terms

• BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party): A major political party in India, often associated with Hindu nationalism.
• India Alliance: A coalition of opposition parties formed to challenge the BJP in the 2024 elections.
• Uttar Pradesh (UP): A state in northern India with significant political influence due to its large population and representation in parliament.
• Ram Mandir: A Hindu temple in Ayodhya, a controversial site that has been a central issue in Indian politics.
• Dalit: A term used for historically marginalized communities in India, formerly known as “untouchables.”
• Hindu Rashtra: An ideology advocating for India to be a Hindu nation, often associated with Hindu nationalist groups.
• Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas: A slogan meaning “Together with all, development for all,” used by Narendra Modi to promote inclusive growth.
• Lok Sabha: The lower house of the Indian Parliament.
• Negative Propaganda: The spreading of information, often biased or misleading, to damage the reputation of an opponent.
• Coalition Politics: A system where multiple political parties form a government together, requiring compromise and negotiation.

2024 Indian Election Analysis: BJP’s Diminished Mandate

Okay, here’s a briefing document summarizing the main themes and important ideas from the provided text about the 2024 Indian elections.

Briefing Document: Analysis of 2024 Indian Election Results

Source: Excerpts from “Pasted Text”

Date: October 26, 2023 (Assumed based on request date)

Subject: Analysis of 2024 Indian Election Results and the Implications for the Modi Government

Executive Summary:

The provided text analyzes the 2024 Indian election results, focusing on the performance of the BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) and the opposition alliance. The document argues that while the BJP secured a third term, it suffered significant setbacks compared to previous elections. Several factors are cited, including the diminishing appeal of religious polarization after the Ram Temple construction, the unity of the opposition alliance, and the impact of negative campaigning. The briefing also discusses the challenges and compromises the Modi government will face in its third term due to its reduced majority and reliance on coalition partners. The document also makes commentary on the persona and image of Modi.

Key Themes and Ideas:

1. BJP’s Diminished Victory:

• The text highlights the BJP’s decreased seat count in Uttar Pradesh (UP), a crucial state, attributing it to a shift away from religious fervor after the Ram Temple’s construction. “Its seats have come down to just 36 and the main reason for this is that the Ram temple, which raised the radical Hindu mindset, has lost its charm with the construction of the temple.”
• The rise of the opposition alliance, especially in UP, is credited to addressing social issues rather than religious tensions. “…the unity of India Alliance, Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul’s Congress Party has given the people of UP the verdict that our real issue is the social issues and not the religious tension.”
• Despite being the single largest party with 240 seats, the BJP fell short of the 272 required for a majority.

1. The Role of Uttar Pradesh (UP):

• UP is emphasized as a culturally and politically significant region, likened to Punjab’s importance in Pakistan’s politics. “Uttar Pradesh is such a cultural center of the whole of India that we can also call it a mini Hindustan. Just as in Pakistan it is said about Punjab that it is necessary to establish a foothold in Punjab for the rule of Islamabad, similarly in India it is generally said that Delhi has been the throne or the 100th seat or the vicinity and the Indian Lok Sabha The maximum number of 80 seats are here.”
• The BJP’s reduced presence in UP is seen as a major blow, signaling a broader shift in political sentiment.

1. Impact of the Ram Temple:

• The text suggests that the Ram Temple issue, a long-standing point of contention, may have lost its political potency. “Thus, with the construction of Ram Mandir or Temple, the old card of the oppressed class expired.”
• While the temple’s construction initially benefited the BJP, it may have also contributed to a sense of complacency among its supporters.

1. Opposition’s Strategy and Messaging:

• The opposition, particularly Rahul Gandhi and the India Alliance, effectively used negative campaigning, warning about the BJP’s alleged plans to change the constitution and undermine secular values. “Rahul Gandhi and the opposition leadership were found giving this statement in every speech that 400 crossed means that BJP will change the Constitution i.e. Indian law given by our elders or founding fathers, in which there is no provision for intellectuals and weaker sections.”
• This messaging resonated with farmers, Jats, Dalits, and Muslims, leading to a consolidation of votes against the BJP.

1. Challenges for the Third Modi Government:

• The reduced majority necessitates reliance on coalition partners, potentially leading to compromises and internal tensions. “They will also have to bear the tantrums of their own people. From the division of offices in the cabinet to their power in the states, they will have to take care of it.”
• The text mentions specific challenges related to accommodating the demands of coalition partners like Nitish Kumar in Bihar and Chandrababu Naidu in Andhra Pradesh.

1. Analysis of Modi’s Image and Slogans:

• The text criticizes Modi’s image as a “fakir” (ascetic), arguing that his lifestyle doesn’t align with this portrayal. “Narendra Modi also presents himself as a fakir in the market, but his living style often does not match his claim.”
• The slogan of “crossing 400” is deemed an exaggerated claim that led to complacency among BJP voters and fueled opposition propaganda.

Important Facts:

• In 2014 and 2019, BJP won 71 and 62 seats respectively in UP. In 2024, it won 36 seats.
• The BJP secured 240 seats alone, against the 272 majority and against the India Alliance’s 232.
• The ruling alliance (NDA) has won 294 seats.
• The BJP lost seats in several states, including Rajasthan, Haryana, and Maharashtra, but gained ground in Gujarat, Orissa, and Madhya Pradesh.

Quotes:

• “If we take a look at this scenario, then the political awareness of the Indian people has proved to be better than ours.”
• “This time the slogan of crossing 400 was also an exaggerated slogan of its own…”
• “In today’s India, Mahatma You can rid yourself of Gandhi’s ideas as much as you want, but many of the ideals of this saint have originated from the ancient Hindu society and culture, in which the simplicity of Hindu religion, the intellectualism and greatness are displayed.”
• “… this is done by the Congress which shows the identity or division of sects in the name of religion. We talk of national unity by bringing everyone together.”

Conclusion:

The 2024 Indian elections represent a significant shift in the political landscape. While the Modi government secured a third term, it faces considerable challenges due to its diminished majority, the rise of a united opposition, and the need to accommodate coalition partners. The election results suggest a cooling of religious fervor as a dominant political force and a greater focus on social and economic issues. The effectiveness of negative campaigning in mobilizing opposition votes also presents a new dynamic in Indian politics. The Modi government’s success in its third term will depend on its ability to navigate these challenges and adapt to the changing political realities.

Indian Elections 2024: BJP Performance and Political Analysis

Here is an 8-question FAQ based on the provided text, formatted in markdown:

1. What was a key takeaway from the recent Indian elections regarding the BJP’s performance compared to previous elections?

While the BJP secured a third term, they experienced a significant setback compared to the 2014 and 2019 elections. Their seat count in Uttar Pradesh (UP), a crucial state, dropped considerably. This suggests a shift in voter priorities away from solely religious issues to broader social concerns.

2. What factors contributed to the BJP’s diminished performance in the 2024 elections, particularly in Uttar Pradesh?

Several factors played a role. The construction of the Ram Temple, a long-standing issue, seemingly lost its appeal as a primary motivator for voters. The unity of the India Alliance (including Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress Party) successfully highlighted social issues over religious tension. The perception of arrogance stemming from the BJP’s past electoral success might have also alienated potential allies and contributed to voter apathy.

3. How did the slogan “crossing 400” impact the election results, according to the source?

The “crossing 400” slogan, referring to a target of winning over 400 seats, had a mixed effect. It potentially led to complacency among some BJP voters who felt victory was assured, resulting in lower voter turnout. Conversely, it fueled the opposition’s narrative that the BJP aimed to alter the Constitution, mobilizing certain segments of the population, particularly marginalized communities, to vote against them.

4. What role did negative propaganda play in the election outcome?

The negative propaganda spread by the opposition, focusing on the alleged threat to the Constitution and the rights of marginalized communities if the BJP secured an overwhelming majority, resonated with some voters. Despite Prime Minister Modi’s attempts to dispel these concerns, the propaganda proved effective in mobilizing opposition support.

5. Which regions in India showed mixed results for the BJP?

Several states exhibited mixed results, including Punjab, Haryana, Kashmir, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, and Jharkhand. In some, like Tamil Nadu and Punjab, the BJP or its alliance failed to win any seats. In others, like Rajasthan and Haryana, the BJP lost a significant number of seats despite previous strong performances. Maharashtra saw a significant win for the opposition alliance.

6. How do regional parties and alliances impact the stability of the Modi government moving forward?

The BJP’s reliance on alliances with regional parties like Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal in Bihar and Chandrababu Naidu’s Telugu Desam Party in Andhra Pradesh will require careful management. These parties, while supporting the Modi government, will likely demand concessions and influence policy decisions, potentially leading to internal tensions and challenges to the government’s agenda.

7. What lesson should the BJP learn, based on the author’s analysis of other countries’ political history?

The author suggests that the BJP should learn from the mistakes of other countries where religion has been used for political purposes, leading to societal division and ultimately, negative consequences. They argue that focusing solely on religious issues may have a short-term benefit but can ultimately undermine social cohesion and political stability.

8. What aspects of Mahatma Gandhi’s ideals does the author believe are still relevant in contemporary Indian politics?

The author emphasizes the continuing relevance of Mahatma Gandhi’s ideals of simplicity, service, and devotion, rooted in ancient Hindu society and culture. They suggest that Prime Minister Modi’s public image as a humble “fakir” (ascetic) should align more closely with his actual lifestyle and actions to resonate authentically with the Indian public.

2024 Indian Election: BJP’s Reduced Majority and Opposition Gains

The Indian elections have seen the BJP, led by Narendra Modi, secure a third term, but with a reduced majority. Here’s a breakdown:

• 2024 Election Results: The BJP won 240 seats, making it the single largest party in the Lok Sabha, which has 543 seats. To form a government, 272 seats are needed. The ruling alliance secured 294 seats, while the opposition alliance has 232.
• Setback for BJP: Despite efforts, the BJP’s seat count decreased significantly in the 2024 elections. In Uttar Pradesh, their seats fell from 62 in 2019 to 36 in 2024.
• Reasons for the outcome:Diminished Ram Mandir effect: The construction of the Ram Temple, which initially fueled a radical Hindu mindset, lost its charm.
• Opposition Unity: The alliance between Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress Party shifted focus to social issues rather than religious tensions in Uttar Pradesh.
• Negative Propaganda: The opposition successfully spread negative propaganda, which resonated with groups of farmers, Jats, Dalits, and Muslims. Concerns were raised that the BJP would change the constitution.
• Overconfidence: The BJP’s slogan of “crossing 400” led to complacency among voters, resulting in lower voter turnout.
• Regional Variations: The BJP experienced a mixed situation across different states.
• Losses: The BJP lost seats in states like Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Haryana. In Tamil Nadu and Punjab, the BJP or its ruling alliance failed to win any seats.
• Gains: The BJP performed strongly in Gujarat, Orissa, and Madhya Pradesh.
• Alliances and Dependence: The BJP will rely on its alliance partners, such as Nitish Kumar in Bihar and Chandrababu Naidu in Andhra Pradesh. These parties’ success will contribute to Modi’s government. However, accommodating their demands and concerns, from cabinet positions to state power, will be a challenge.
• The Importance of Uttar Pradesh: Uttar Pradesh is a crucial state in Indian politics, often referred to as “mini Hindustan”. With its 80 Lok Sabha seats, it holds significant influence in determining who rules Delhi.
• Historical Context: The Nehru-Gandhi family has traditionally held the Amethi seat in Uttar Pradesh, but the BJP has won it in the last two elections. In the 2024 election, Smriti Irani, the BJP’s face in the constituency, lost to Kishori Lal Sharma of the Congress.
• Modi’s Image: Despite presenting himself as a humble person, Modi’s lifestyle and attire sometimes contradict this image. His slogan of crossing 400 also had its own humanitarian or moral value in it, which would remind of his great deeds.

Indian Election Analysis: Modi’s Third Term and Reduced Majority

The Modi government secured a third term in the recent Indian elections, but with a significantly reduced majority. Here’s an overview of the key aspects:

• Election Results: In the Lok Sabha, which consists of 543 seats, the BJP won 240 seats, making it the single largest party. To form a government requires 272 seats. The ruling alliance secured 294 seats, while the opposition alliance secured 232.
• Setback in Uttar Pradesh: The BJP experienced a significant setback in Uttar Pradesh (UP), a crucial state in Indian politics. Their seat count fell from 71 in 2014 and 62 in 2019 to just 36 in the 2024 elections. UP is considered a “mini Hindustan” due to its cultural significance and its 80 Lok Sabha seats.
• Factors Contributing to the Election Outcome:Diminished Effect of Ram Temple: The Ram Temple construction, initially a boost for Hindu sentiment, lost its appeal.
• Opposition Unity: Alliances like the one between Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress Party, successfully shifted the focus to social issues, taking attention away from religious tensions.
• Concerns About the Constitution: Negative propaganda suggesting the BJP would alter the constitution resonated with farmers, Jats, Dalits, and Muslims.
• Overconfidence: The BJP’s ambitious slogan of “crossing 400” led to complacency among voters and a lower turnout.
• Regional Performance: The BJP’s performance varied across states. They performed strongly in Gujarat, Orissa, and Madhya Pradesh, but lost seats in Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Haryana. In Tamil Nadu and Punjab, the BJP and its allies failed to win any seats.
• Reliance on Alliances: The Modi government will depend on alliance partners such as Nitish Kumar in Bihar and Chandrababu Naidu in Andhra Pradesh. Accommodating these allies and addressing their concerns regarding cabinet positions and state power will be crucial.
• Challenges and Future Approach: Modi will need to showcase political strength, prioritize the slogan ‘Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas’, and avoid making blatant claims.

BJP’s 2024 Election Setback: Factors and Analysis

The BJP experienced a setback in the recent Indian elections. Despite securing a third term, the party saw a reduction in its majority.

Here’s a breakdown of the key factors contributing to this setback:

• Reduced Seat Count: In Uttar Pradesh, a crucial state in Indian politics, the BJP’s seat count decreased from 62 in 2019 to 36 in the 2024 elections.
• Diminished Ram Mandir Effect: The construction of the Ram Temple, which initially fueled a radical Hindu mindset, lost its charm.
• Opposition Unity: The alliance between Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress Party shifted focus to social issues rather than religious tensions in Uttar Pradesh.
• Negative Propaganda: The opposition successfully spread negative propaganda, which resonated with groups of farmers, Jats, Dalits, and Muslims. Concerns were raised that the BJP would change the constitution.
• Overconfidence: The BJP’s slogan of “crossing 400” led to complacency among voters, resulting in lower voter turnout.
• Losses in Key States: The BJP lost seats in states like Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Haryana. In Tamil Nadu and Punjab, the BJP or its ruling alliance failed to win any seats.

Indian Elections: Opposition Alliance Impact and Analysis

The opposition alliance played a significant role in the recent Indian elections, impacting the BJP’s performance.

Here’s a breakdown of the opposition alliance’s key aspects:

• Unity: Alliances, such as the one between Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress Party, successfully shifted the focus to social issues, taking attention away from religious tensions. In Uttar Pradesh, this unity gave the people the verdict that their real issue is social issues and not religious tension.
• Negative Propaganda: The opposition successfully spread negative propaganda, which resonated with groups of farmers, Jats, Dalits, and Muslims. They raised concerns that the BJP would change the constitution.
• Seat Count: The opposition alliance secured 232 seats. Rahul Gandhi’s party won only 99 seats. Rahul’s party in India has grown from 26 to 37 seats.
• Impact on BJP: In Uttar Pradesh, the BJP’s seat count decreased significantly, which is attributed in part to the unity of the opposition alliance. In Maharashtra, the opposition alliance won 30 seats.
• Leadership Issues: The parties in the India alliance do not agree on leadership. There have been talks of distributing ministries every year.

Indian Elections: The Role of Religion and Social Issues

In the context of the Indian elections, religion and religious politics played a significant role, influencing outcomes and voter behavior.

Here’s a breakdown of key points:

• BJP and Religious Sentiment: The BJP initially utilized the construction of the Ram Temple to fuel Hindu sentiment. However, the source suggests this appeal diminished over time.
• Ram Mandir Effect: The construction of the Ram Temple initially fueled a radical Hindu mindset but lost its charm.
• Opposition’s Counter-Narrative: The opposition successfully raised concerns that the BJP would change the constitution, playing on fears of the end of provisions for intellectuals and weaker sections and the establishment of “Ram Rajya” or “Hindu Rashtra”. This narrative resonated with groups of farmers, Jats, Dalits, and Muslims, leading them to gather together for protection.
• Shifting Focus to Social Issues: Opposition alliances, such as the one between Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Rahul Gandhi’s Congress Party, successfully shifted the focus to social issues, taking attention away from religious tensions. In Uttar Pradesh, this unity gave the people the verdict that their real issue is social issues and not religious tension.
• BJP’s Defense: Prime Minister Narendra Modi attempted to counter the opposition’s propaganda by emphasizing secular values and referencing Baba Saheb Ambedkar. He insisted that his party does not intend to change the constitution and accused the Congress of dividing society in the name of religion.
• Views on Using Religion for Political Purposes: One source cites an individual who expressed that the BJP leadership should learn a lesson from how religion was used for political purposes, lest they be affected the same way.
• Hindutva Agenda: In Maharashtra, the Hindutva agenda of Shiv Sena matches that of BJP, but its Hinduism is more than that of BJP.

The Original Text

इंडियन इंतखाब मोदी सरकार तीसरी बार दरवेश ने पिछली किस्त में एक सवाल का जवाब देते हुए यह तहरीर किया था कि अगर उसे बीजेपी कयादत से मिलने का इफाक हुआ तो व इनसे यह जरूर कहेगा कि देखो जिस तरह हम लोगों ने अपने खिता में मजहब का सियासी इस्तेमाल करते हुए अपने मुल्क और समाज को बर्बाद कर लिया है आप लोग हमसे इबरत हासिल करो वरना आप लोगों का भी वही असर होगा इस पस मंजर में जायजा लिया जाए तो भारतीय जनता का सियासी शऊर हम लोगों से ज्यादा मोर साबित हुआ है उन्होंने हिंदुओं के खिलाफ रवा रखी जाने वाली मजहबी जातियों पर एक हद तक जरूर बीजेपी को पजरा बख्शी है जिसके कारण वह राम मंदिर का 500 साला पुराना इशू हल करने या कराने में कामयाब हो गई यूं राम मंदिर या टेंपल की तामीर के साथ ही मजलूम अत का कदीमी कार्ड एक्सपायर हो गया इस तरह बीजेपी ना सिर्फ यह कि पूरे यूपी से बल्कि फैजाबाद के खालिस अयोध्या राम मंदिर वाले राम जीी कलके से भी अखिलेश सिंह यादव की समाजवादी पार्टी के दलित नुमाइंदे से बुरी तरह पिट गई है इसके बिल मुकाबल राय बरेली के ब यों ने जिन्हें श्रीमती सोनिया गांधी ने यह कहा था कि राहुल गांधी अब तुम्हारा बेटा है भारी मैंडेट के साथ जितवा दिया है इसी तरह यूपी के अमेठी वाली सीट रवायत तौर पर नेहरू गांधी परिवार के पास चली आ रही थी श्रीमती इंदिरा गांधी भी यहीं से जीता करती थी राजीव गांधी भी यहां से लड़ते रहे लेकिन पिछले दोनों इंतखाब में बीजेपी ने कांग्रेस से यह सीट भी छीन ली है साबका अदाकारा स्मृति ईरानी जिन्हें बीजेपी का चेहरा कर दिया जाता है जिन्होंने कुछ अरसा कबल मदीना यात्रा भी की थी और पिछले इंतखाब से ये सीट इन्हीं के पास थी मगर मौजूदा 2024 के इलेक्शन में वो सोनिया गांधी के मैनेजर या स्टेनो किशोरी लाल शर्मा से बड़े मार्जन के साथ हार गई है उत्तर प्रदेश खिता हिंद का ऐसा तहजीब गहवारा है जिसे हम मिनी हिंदुस्तान भी कह सकते हैं पाकिस्तान में जिस तरह पंजाब के मुतालिक कहा जाता है कि इस्लामाबाद की हुकूमत के लिए पंजाब में कदम जमाना जरूरी है इसी तरह भारत में बिल अमोम यह कहा जाता है कि दिल्ली सिंघासन या इक्दर्म या आसपास रही है और भारतीय लोकसभा की सबसे ज्यादा 80 सीटें यहां हैं बीजेपी को 2014 के चुनाव में यहां से 7171 सीटों पर कामयाबी मिली थी और 2019 के इंतखाब में भी हसबे साबिक यह तादाद योगी आदित्यनाथ की कयादत में 62 थी जबकि इस मर्तबा 2024 के चुनाव में बीजेपी को तमाम तर खिदमा और दामों के बावजूद बड़ा सेटबैक पहुंचा है इसकी सीटें घटकर महत 36 रह गई हैं और इसकी बड़ी वजह जहां यह है कि र वायती हिंदू माइंडसेट को उभारने वाला राम मंदिर कार टेंपल की तामीर के साथ ही अपनी कशिश खो बैठा है वहीं इंडिया अलायंस बिलख सूस अखली देश सिंह यादू की समाजवादी पार्टी और राहुल की कांग्रेस पार्टी की एकता से यूपी की जनता ने यह फैसला सुना दिया है कि हमारा असल इशू माशी मसाइल है ना के मजहबी तंग नाए कुछ इसी तरह की मिलीजुली सूरत हाल दीगर राज्यों सूबों या रियासतों की है पंजाब हरियाणा कश्मीर राजस्थान महाराष्ट्र वेस्ट बंगाल केराला तमिलनाडु कर्नाटका झारखंड में बीजेपी अपनी सियासी हैसियत कहीं कम कहीं ज्यादा खो बैठी है बिलख सूस तमिलनाडु और मशर की पंजाब से तो बीजेपी या हुक्मरान इतहाद कोई एक सीट भी हासिल नहीं कर सके राजस्थान और हरियाणा जहां बीजेपी ने क्लीन स्वीप किया था वहां भी निस सीटें खो बैठी है महाराष्ट्र की 30 सीटें अपोजिशन अलायंस ने जीत ली हैं अलबत्ता बिहार में हुक्मरान इतहाद ने 30 और अपोजिशन ने नौ सीटें जीती हैं गुजरात उड़ीसा मध्य प्रदेश में अलबत्ता बीजेपी मजबूत हैसियत में उभरी है आंध्र प्रदेश में गेंद चंद्र बाबू नाडो के हाथ में है जो मोदी के मजबूत इतहाद गल दने जाते हैं इस तरह बिहार में नितेश कुमार की मजबूत पोजीशन का फायदा मोदी सरकार को पहुंचेगा और शरद पवार की कामयाबी भी मोदी के खाते में जाएगी यहां इस अमर का इजहार भी शायद मौजू हो कि बीजेपी की जरूरत से ज्यादा बढ़ी हुई खुद इत मादी एक तरह के गुरूर तक पहुंच गई थी इसलिए उन्होंने अपने तहा दियों को भी या कई दीगर असर सूफ वाली पार्टियों को साथ जोड़ने में कोई सरगर्मी ना दिखाई जिसकी एक मिसाल पंजाब में अकाली दल है जबकि इंडिया नामी राहुल का अलायंस 26 जमां से बढ़ते हुए 37 तक चले गया और फिर उन्होंने जो इंतखाब वादे किए वो ऐसे थे कि जैसे एक शख्स को अपनी जीत का यकीन ना हो और वह हर बात को बढ़ा चढ़ाकर बयान करता चला जाए मसलन यह कि हर गरीब खातून को ₹ लाख अकाउंट में भेजने या फौरी तौर पर मुल्क से फटाफट गरीबी खत्म करने के लनात और फिर इनका इतहाद ऐसा चूचू का मुरब्बा है जिसका स्वाय बीजेपी से हसद या जलन के कोई मुस्त एजेंडा नहीं है इनका तो अभी तक कयादत पर भी इत्तफाक नहीं हत्ता कि विजारत उजमा भी एक-एक साल पर बांटने की बातें होती रही हैं खोखले वादे झूठी उम्मीदें पैदार और मजबूत कयादत नहीं ला सकती 2014 और 2019 के बिल मुकाबल बिला शुभ बीजेपी को इलेक्शन 2024 में सेट बैक पहुंचा है अबकी बार 400 पार का नारा भी जरूरत से बढ़ी हुई खुद इत मादी का मजहर था मगर हमारे मीडिया में बिल मूम बीजेपी और मोदी की वाज जीत को जिस तरह मनफी प्रोपेगेंडा जा रहा है यह तर्ज अमल भी सावती दियानत दारी के जिमरे में नहीं आता है 543 के लोकसभा आवान में हुकूमत साजी के लिए 272 सीटें दरकार हैं और की बीजेपी 37 जमाती अलायंस के बिल मुकाबल तन्हा 240 निशि हासिल करते हुए सिंगल लार्जेस्ट पार्टी की हैसियत से उभरी है जबकि इसके सामने राहुल गांधी की कांग्रेस पार्टी 999 से आगे नहीं बढ़ पाई अलायंस के हवाले से भी जहां हुक्मरान इतहाद ने 294 निशि जीती है वहां अपोजिशन इतहाद की कुल सीटें 232 हैं ऐसे में अपोजिशन के हुक्मरान या मोदी के जवाल की बातें बेमानी है जिन्हें अब अपने नारे सबका साथ सबका विकास पर बिल फेल ज्यादा तवज्जो देते हुए अटल बिहारी वाजपेई की सियासी दम और बड़े पन का मुजहरा करना होगा प्राइम मिनिस्टर मोदी की जरूरत से ज्यादा खुद त मादी को हका शनास में लाना होगा ब्लं बांग दावों से परहेज करना होगा आज के भारत में महात्मा गांधी के विचारों से आप जितनी चाहे जान छुड़ा ले लेकिन इस साधु के बहुत से आदर्श कदीमी हिंदू समाज और तहजीब से फूटे हैं जिनमें हिंदू मत की सादगी वस्ते कल्बी वुसी नजरी और बड़ा पन नुमाया तर है नरेंद्र मोदी भी बजार खुद को एक फकीर के रूप में पेश करते हैं मगर इनका लिविंग स्टाइल अक्सर इनके दावे से मेल नहीं खाता वो कहते हैं कि मैं पीएम की की हैसियत से जब गैरों को मिलता हूं तो मैं इस वक्त मोदी नहीं हो 1 अरब 40 करोड़ की जनता का नुमाइंदा बनकर वकार और डिग्निटी दिखाता हूं जो हमारी नजर में बाज औकात कुछ आगे तक पहुंची होती है और फिर वह रंग बंगी जितनी जैकेट्स बदलते और बढ़िया लिबास के लिए मुत फक्कर रहते हैं ये अप्रोच इंडियन समाज की सेवा और भक्ति भरे आदर्शों के खिलाफ हैं आपकी बार 400 पार के नारे ने भी अपना मुसब्बर नाजर में इसकी कोई मानवीय या मक दियत वाजिया होती जो इनके बहुत बड़े कारनामों की याद दिलाता इंडियन इंतखाब तारीख में 400 पार तो महज एक मर्तबा हुआ है जब श्रीमती इंदिरा गांधी अपने देश की एकता और रिक्शा पर कुर्बान हो गई तो बदले में राजीव गांधी को 404 या 400 पार हुए बीजेपी यह नारा भी रख सकती थी कि तीसरी बार मोदी सरकार बहरहाल जब 400 पार की गूंज दिमाग में छाई हुई थी तो बहुत से अपनों ने यह समझा कि हमारी जीत तो इस कदर यकीनी है कि अगर इतनी शदीद गर्मी में हम वोट डालने ना भी गए तो कोई बात नहीं जीत तो मोदी ने ही जाना है 400 पार ना हुए तो 350 पार हो जाएंगे यही वजह है कि 2024 के इलेक्शन में वोटिंग रेशो निसन कदर कम रही शायद 60 पर से ऊपर नहीं जा सकी बीजेपी का वोटर साबका इनमार्क से नहीं निकला दूसरी तरफ इस नारे का मुखालिफ असर यह हुआ कि राहुल गांधी और अपोजिशन कयादत अपनी हर तकरीर में यह तश्वी बयान करते पाए गए कि 400 पार का यह मतलब है कि बीजेपी हमारे बड़ों या फाउंडिंग फादर्स का दिया हुआ अजमु शन संविधान यानी भारतीय आईन बदल डालेगी जिसमें अकली तों और कमजोर तबकात को दिए गए तजत खत्म हो जाएंगे राम राजिया या हिंदू राष्ट्रिय से बचने के लिए तमाम कमजोर तबकात को उठ खड़े होना चाहिए वरना बीजेपी और नरेंद्र मोदी की आमनियन कायम होने जा रही है अगर हकीकत की नजर से देखा जाए तो किसान जाटों दलितों और मुसलमानों के खद शत इस हवाले से तहफ्फुज या बचाओ की खातिर इकट्ठे हो गए और इलाकाई पार्टियों ने भी अपना असर दिखाया प्राइम मिनिस्टर नरेंद्र मोदी को इस हवाले से फैलाए गए खद शत के मुजम का एहसासो द्राक हो चुका था और उन्होंने अपनी इलेक्शन कैंपेन के आखिरी मराल में इस हवाले से खूब वजाहत की हर जगह यह कहा कि हम संविधान या आईन बदलने का कोई इरादा नहीं रखते और यह भी कि हम सेकुलर वैल्यूज को बड़ी अहमियत देते हैं मोदी जी ने इस अमर पर इसरार किया कि यह हरकत तो कांग्रेस करती है जो धर्म के नाम पर फिरको की पहचान या तकसीम को नुमाया करती है हम तो सबको साथ मिलाकर कौमी एकता की बात करते हैं इस सिलसिले में उन्होंने बार-बार बाबा साहब अंबेडकर का रेफरेंस दिया मगर वह अपने खिलाफ फैलाए गए राहुल और इंडी अलायंस के इस मनफी प्रोपेगेंडा जिसकी कुछ ना कुछ झूठी सची बनदे बाल अपोजिशन के पास थी इन जैसे-तैसे खद शत के कारण भारतीय जनता ने अपने पॉपुलर प्रधानमंत्री को तीसरी बार दिल्ली के इक्दर्म बक में बेल फेल साहब को साथ लेकर चलना होगा अपने इतहाद हों के नखरे भी उठाने होंगे काबीना में उदों की तकसीम से लेकर राज्यों में इनकी तजत का बाल ख्याल रखना होगा महाराष्ट्र में शिव सना का हिंदुत्व का एजेंडा अगर च बीजेपी से से मेल खाता है लेकिन इसकी हिद्दी बीजेपी से ज्यादा है बाल ठाकरे जी के विचारों से कौन वाकफ नहीं है अब इनके बच्चे इसी लगन के साथ आगे बढ़ेंगे बहरहाल इनकी नौ सीटें बीजेपी की हुकूमत के लिए एक तरह से हम ख्याल अदि हों जैसी होंगी बिहार में नितेश कुमार की जनता दल के पास 12 सीटें हैं जबकि आंध्र प्रदेश में चंद्रबाबू नायडू के तलग देशम की 16 नशत मोदी सरकार के लिए मामन होंगी

By Amjad Izhar
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